Thursday - January 14, 2010

Dead Heat In MA Special Election

The Massachusetts’ special U.S. Senate election has gotten tighter, but the general dynamics remain the same.

A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley attracting 49% of the vote while her Republican rival, state Senator Scott Brown, picks up 47%.

Three percent (3%) say they’ll vote for independent candidate Joe Kennedy, and two percent (2%) are undecided. The independent is no relation to the late Edward M. Kennedy, whose Senate seat the candidates are battling to fill in next Tuesday’s election.

Coakley is supported by 77% of Democrats while Brown picks up the vote from 88% of Republicans. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Brown leads 71% to 23%. To be clear, this lead is among unaffiliated voters who are likely to participate in the special election.

All polling indicates that a lower turnout is better for the Republican. The new Rasmussen Reports poll shows that Brown is ahead by two percentage points among those who are absolutely certain they will vote. A week ago, he trailed by two among those certain to vote.

To overcome the enthusiasm gap and help generate a larger turnout, national Democrats are getting involved in the race. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is reportedly spending more than half a million dollars in the final days of a campaign that Coakley has long been the heavy favorite to win. Senator John Kerry in an emergency fund raising letter for Coakley today says the race is “a dead heat,” and he and former President Bill Clinton plan to campaign in the state on Friday.

Brown raised over a million dollars on Monday and appears to have narrowed the financial gap so far. Coakley has gone negative in the second television ad of her campaign, one that includes Brown in front of a picture of conservative radio commentator Rush Limbaugh. She also sought to link Brown to former President George W. Bush during the debate.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of likely voters in Massachusetts have a favorable opinion of Brown, and 58% say the same about Coakley.

Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters think Coakley will win the election, while 33% expect a victory for Brown.

Brown is getting lots of small donations by citizens. Coakley is being funded by the SEIU, Big Pharma, and the Democrat’s Congressional election fund. The election is in 5 days. “Massachusettes” is overwhelmingly Democrat. Registered Republicans are something like only 19%. Or was it 9%? Michelle Malkin et al are all over this campaign and the leftist shenanigans.

Electing Brown will tip the balance of power in the Senate. Which is why the left is frantic to try and get the health care idiocy passed right the hell now! And, of course, their back-up plan of not allowing him to be seated until after the vote should he win. Stuff and nonsense, but that’s how dirty politics is in DC. Brown is worth electing for this reason alone, but it’s a long, long uphill battle in dark blue Massachusetts.

Posted by Drew458     on 01/14/2010 at 09:17 AM   
Filed Under: • Politics •  
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