Tuesday - April 01, 2008

What is Gaddafi’s son REALLY doing in Iraq?

A letter from the wood-paneled study of your latest BMEWS news analyst.

I was looking through some Austrian news, when I chanced upon an item that there are two Austrians still being held hostage in North Africa, in the country of Mali, to be exact. It is an elaborate denial that Muammar al-Gaddafi (who we all know about) has sent his number two son, Seif al-Islam al-Gaddafi, to negotiate with the kidnappers (who announced themselves to be al Qaeda) for the release of the hostages. This runs contrary to other stories that he is doing exactly that.

Seif is also (nominally) in charge of his father’s charity, the Gaddafi International Foundation for Charity Associations, which in the past has been instrumental in extracting other hostages from similar situations.

“I know that name”, I thought to myself. For not long before, I had read another item which placed him in Northwestern Iraq, in the area around Mosul, which still has bands of al Qaeda running wild. Iraq The Model also has an excellent article.

So there are three stories about this man.

Story 1: He helps to run his father’s charity foundation, which involves the in-flow and out-flow of large sums of money.

Story 2: He negotiates with al Qaeda kidnappers for the release of their hostages, probably paying them off in the process.

Story 3: He is the Mosul regional captain of al Qaeda himself, financing their campaign, and generating some Fear and Despondency in the Western media. Seif went into Iraq with a large company of palace guards (the Seifaddin Regiment) to add some military muscle to the campaign.

Let me fill in the gaps with some facts.

Fact 1: There has recently been an increase in terrorist activity in and around Mosul. Quote: “It is their strategic center of gravity. One-half to two-thirds of attacks in Iraq today are in and around Mosul.”

Fact 2: Libyans are the second largest nationality of foreign insurgent fighters (19%) in Iraq, after the Saudis.

Some other factors are worthy of note.

Note 1: During the Cold War, when an agent was sent out on his (or her) mission, he was given a “cover”(CIA-speak) or “legend” (KGB-speak), to give a legitimate reason for being where he was.

Note 2: Nothing in the Middle East is straightforward. There are always multiple motivations, more than one reason for anything happening, especially so since al-Quaeda became considerably more decentralized. The rationale of who did what and why is constantly being muddled by a “Billy the Kid” effect (see footnote). This constantly bamboozles the MSM, who don’t seem to get their heads around it.

Note 3: Seif’s father is a ruthless bastard. That is pretty much a given. Gaddafi wants to trade in either smuggled goods or political influence: smuggling antiquities (yes it still goes on), or getting in some last jabs in against the Iraqi government and the US forces to gain some kudos with the other regional dictatorships (Iran, Syria, Sudan).

Note 4: For a long time, Seif al-Gaddafi (number two son) was seen as the heir-apparent to be President of Libya. But there are reports that he was dropped in favor of his younger brother Motassim Bilal, also known as Hannibal. And yes, he is something of a cannibal. Seif would be keen to win his spurs on the field of battle and regain his father’s favor.

Conclusion: Gaddafi is again playing both ends against the middle. It reminds me of this character (picture in the middle) in the Rockford Files – one of my favorite programs which has recently had a re-playing on digital TV in the UK. (See the comments here.)

Footnote: The “Billy the Kid” effect is one of false attribution. For a few years, while Billy was still at large, it was common for young criminals to hold up a store or a stagecoach and announce that they were Billy the Kid. Word goes around, and in no time at all, a pretty fearsome reputation has been created, and a hitherto unknown talent for being in two places at the same time. Billy would not disown the crimes, for they make him appear mightier than he really is, and a large part of his modus operandi is the psychology. (No links, Google was no help.)

Postscript 1: Don’t you think Seif looks like Art Malik in True Lies? Maybe he can come to a similar sticky end, or crispy-fried a la Zarqawi.

Postscript 2: To those who think “Better inside the tent pissing out, than outside the tent pissing in”, there is a third possibility – Inside the tent pissing on your shoes - which is what the Western powers are in danger of, unless they wise up and see Gaddafi for what he really is. A wolf in sheep’s clothing.

Presently, DWMF is our only reader in Switzerland Gnaargh!, AUSTRIA. (funny name for a town ) He also could use a hand with some plain old html. So, give his essay a read and a think, and leave an opinion and a response or two. And if you have impressive html skills and some time, lend him a hand. Or a keyboard. Thanks. If any of the links are beat, it’s my fault.

Posted by Drew458     on 04/01/2008 at 08:05 PM   
Filed Under: • Iraq •  
• Comments (3) • Trackbacks(0)  Permalink •  

DISCLAIMER

THE SERVICES AND MATERIALS ON THIS WEBSITE ARE PROVIDED "AS IS" AND THE HOSTS OF THIS SITE EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY AND ALL WARRANTIES, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, TO THE EXTENT PERMITTED BY LAW INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO WARRANTIES OF SATISFACTORY QUALITY, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE, WITH RESPECT TO THE SERVICE OR ANY MATERIALS.

Not that very many people ever read this far down, but this blog was the creation of Allan Kelly and his friend Vilmar. Vilmar moved on to his own blog some time ago, and Allan ran this place alone until his sudden and unexpected death partway through 2006. We all miss him. A lot. Even though he is gone this site will always still be more than a little bit his. We who are left to carry on the BMEWS tradition owe him a great debt of gratitude, and we hope to be able to pay that back by following his last advice to us all:

1. Keep a firm grasp of Right and Wrong
2. Stay involved with government on every level and don't let those bastards get away with a thing
3. Use every legal means to defend yourself in the event of real internal trouble, and, most importantly:
4. Keep talking to each other, whether here or elsewhere

It's been a long strange trip without you Skipper, but thanks for pointing us in the right direction and giving us a swift kick in the behind to get us going. Keep lookin' down on us, will ya? Thanks.

THE INFORMATION AND OTHER CONTENTS OF THIS WEBSITE ARE DESIGNED TO COMPLY WITH THE LAWS OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA. THIS WEBSITE SHALL BE GOVERNED BY AND CONSTRUED IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE LAWS OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND ALL PARTIES IRREVOCABLY SUBMIT TO THE JURISDICTION OF THE AMERICAN COURTS. IF ANYTHING ON THIS WEBSITE IS CONSTRUED AS BEING CONTRARY TO THE LAWS APPLICABLE IN ANY OTHER COUNTRY, THEN THIS WEBSITE IS NOT INTENDED TO BE ACCESSED BY PERSONS FROM THAT COUNTRY AND ANY PERSONS WHO ARE SUBJECT TO SUCH LAWS SHALL NOT BE ENTITLED TO USE OUR SERVICES UNLESS THEY CAN SATISFY US THAT SUCH USE WOULD BE LAWFUL.

Copyright © 2004-2015 Domain Owner