Tuesday - February 16, 2010

Bring Out Your Dead

C - Do you agree that from January 2002 to the present there has been statistically significant global cooling?

No. This period is even shorter than 1995-2009. The trend this time is negative (-0.12C per decade), but this trend is not statistically significant.

the warming rates for all 4 periods are similar and not statistically significantly different from each other.

( 0.12C is barely 1/6 of the 0.7C that the IPCC was claiming. Much ado and much tax wastage about nothing!)

PHIL JONES: 1995-2009 warming trend only marginally significant. 2002-2009 cooling trend (of equal temperature change!) not even marginal.

B - Do you agree that from 1995 to the present there has been no statistically-significant global warming

Yes, but only just. I also calculated the trend for the period 1995 to 2009. This trend (0.12C per decade) is positive, but not significant at the 95% significance level. The positive trend is quite close to the significance level. Achieving statistical significance in scientific terms is much more likely for longer periods, and much less likely for shorter periods.

C - Do you agree that from January 2002 to the present there has been statistically significant global cooling?

No. This period is even shorter than 1995-2009. The trend this time is negative (-0.12C per decade), but this trend is not statistically significant.

Phil Jones LOST the data and admits to keeping crappy records.

Professor Jones told the BBC yesterday there was truth in the observations of colleagues that he lacked organisational skills, that his office was swamped with piles of paper and that his record keeping is ‘not as good as it should be’.

Phil Jones: Medieval Warming Period may have been warmer than it is now.

Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now – suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.

And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no ‘statistically significant’ warming.

Watts Up was right: local heat islands have corrupted the data gathering stations. What once was a country field is now an asphalt parking lot, and no adjustments were made.

The doubts of Christy and a number of other researchers focus on the thousands of weather stations around the world, which have been used to collect temperature data over the past 150 years.

These stations, they believe, have been seriously compromised by factors such as urbanisation, changes in land use and, in many cases, being moved from site to site.

Christy has published research papers looking at these effects in three different regions: east Africa, and the American states of California and Alabama.

“The story is the same for each one,” he said. “The popular data sets show a lot of warming but the apparent temperature rise was actually caused by local factors affecting the weather stations, such as land development.”

“We concluded, with overwhelming statistical significance, that the IPCC’s climate data are contaminated with surface effects from industrialisation and data quality problems. These add up to a large warming bias,” he said.

Such warnings are supported by a study of US weather stations co-written by Anthony Watts, an American meteorologist and climate change sceptic.

Latest bad data in the mix: Dutch sea level rise exaggerated due to bad original measurements.

OSLO (Reuters) - The U.N. panel of climate experts overstated how much of the Netherlands is below sea level, according to a preliminary report on Saturday, admitting yet another flaw after a row last month over Himalayan glacier melt.

Oh puh-leez. It looks like the only idea that is settled is that scientists are a bunch of disorganized dingbats. Bad data collecting, “mere typos” in a glacier report that caused world altering reaction, data hiding, lying to officials and refusing to release data, bogus algorithms to produce fake graphs, messing about with history, and running about crying “the sky is falling!!” over the tiniest, barely significant and short termed temperature anomalies ... it’s over. The death spiral is in it’s last revolution, and all the chunks are falling down the drain. Buh bye.

So can we move on now to our next groundless fear? We’re all gonna be smashed by a rogue asteroid! Quick, let’s spends tra-zillions on Space Rock Defense!!

Yes, the world will inexorably move on from global warming to new crises, both real and imaginary. But before it does, the world should give credit where credit is due: to the global warming skeptics.

For the past 20 years, the skeptics have consistently, courageously — and most importantly, correctly — pointed out the fatal flaws in the hysterical hypothesis of man-made global warming. In the course of their efforts, they have been mocked, threatened (sometimes physically), abused, derided, cursed, characterized as loons, and likened to Holocaust deniers. One green writer for the prominent online publication Grist magazine even suggested Nuremberg-style war crimes trials for the denialists.

All this for the crime of being factually, though not politically, correct.

And I’m not referring to those skeptics-come-lately who, in the wake of Climategate, finally get it. I’m talking about those lone voices, especially during the Bush years. Few in number, they kept the flame of skepticism burning until the cavalry arrived in the form of Climategate, glaciergate, rainforestgate, and now Phil Jones’ anti-climactic climatic admission.

Had the skeptics not succeeded in preventing the U.S. from signing on to the Kyoto Protocol and to President Obama’s cap-and-trade crusade, we would all have been in for a world of hurt as misanthropic socialists — hiding behind their shields of “the environment” and “the children” — destroyed our liberties and ran our economy (further) into the ground.

Hug a skeptic. They saved your bacon.

And it don’t get better than bacon!!

Minor update: looks like we can’t even trust the IPCC with hurricane data. What a non-surprise: just because you have more data gathering points doesn’t mean that there are more storms. It just means you’re gathering more data, and finding storms in areas where you weren’t looking before.

Posted by Drew458     on 02/16/2010 at 08:17 AM   
Filed Under: • Climate-Weather •  
• Comments (5) • Trackbacks(0)  Permalink •  

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