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calendar   Friday - November 27, 2009

Another Data Masseuse Misses Happy Ending

New Zealand Climate Researchers Caught Bending Data



image



Bears are falling from the sky
Every time a plane goes by
Temp graphs show we’re gonna fry
Are based on data that’s a lie


Gee, I’m starting to wonder just how widespread this “scientific method” really is. What if all of it has been “massaged” everywhere? WattsUpWithThat.com has been collecting climate data gathering station info for years now, and long ago found that a serious percentage of those stations were not properly calibrated for their current environments. That old hockey stick graph has been shown to be false for nearly as long. Now we’ve found out that the Hadley folks bent their numbers to push their agenda. And today it looks like a similar group in New Zealand has done the same thing. I don’t want to be a tinfoil hat wearing conspiracy believer, but more and more it’s looking like it’s chapeau d’Reynolds Wrap time for real.



image NZ’s NIWA accused of temperature faking

The New Zealand Government’s chief climate advisory unit NIWA is under fire for allegedly massaging raw climate data to show a global warming trend that wasn’t there.  The scandal breaks as fears grow worldwide that corruption of climate science is not confined to just Britain’s CRU climate research centre.

25 November 2009
Are we feeling warmer yet?

(A paper collated by Richard Treadgold, of the Climate Conversation Group, from a combined research project undertaken by members of the Climate Conversation Group and the New Zealand Climate Science Coalition)

There have been strident claims that New Zealand is warming. The Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), among other organisations and scientists, allege that, along with the rest of the world, we have been heating up for over 100 years. But now, a simple check of publicly-available information proves these claims wrong. In fact, New Zealand’s temperature has been remarkably stable for a century and a half. So what’s going on?

image

the official New Zealand temperature graph

This graph is the centrepiece of NIWA’s temperature claims. It contributes to global temperature statistics and the IPCC reports. It is partly why our government is insisting on introducing an ETS scheme and participating in the climate conference in Copenhagen. But it’s an illusion.

Dr Jim Salinger (who no longer works for NIWA) started this graph in the 1980s when he was at CRU (Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, UK) and it has been updated with the most recent data. It’s published on NIWA’s website at: http://www.niwa.co.nz/our-science/climate/information-and-resources/clivar/pastclimate and in their climate-related publications.

Is the tar warm yet? How’s our feather supply? The same guy - and perhaps others as well - worked for both climate research centers, and now it appears that both places faked their results? Where does Salinger work now, and let’s see that place’s data ASAP!


image

Straight away you can see there’s no slope—either up or down. The temperatures are remarkably constant way back to the 1850s. Of course, the temperature still varies from year to year, but the trend stays level—statistically insignificant at 0.06°C per century since 1850. Putting these two graphs side by side, you can see huge differences. What is going on? Why does NIWA’s graph show strong warming, but graphing their own raw data looks completely different? Their graph shows warming, but the actual temperature readings show none whatsoever!

About half the adjustments actually created a warming trend where none existed; the other half greatly exaggerated existing warming. All the adjustments increased or even created a
warming trend, with only one (Dunedin) going the other way and slightly reducing the original trend. The shocking truth is that the oldest readings have been cranked way down and later readings
artificially lifted to give a false impression of warming, as documented below. There is nothing in the station histories to warrant these adjustments and to date Dr Salinger and NIWA have not revealed why they did this. One station, Hokitika, had its early temperatures reduced by a huge 1.3°C, creating strong warming from a mild cooling, yet there’s no apparent reason for it.

Here we go again!

Reeling from claims that it has massaged data to show a 150 year warming trend where there isn’t one, NIWA’s chief climate scientist David Wratt, an IPCC vice-chair on the 2007 AR4 report, issued a news release stating adjustments had been made to compensate for changes in sensor locations over the years.

While such an adjustment is valid, it needs to be fully explained so other scientists can test the reasonableness of the adjustment.

Wratt is refusing to release data his organisation claims to have justifying adjustments on other weather stations, meaning the science cannot be reviewed.

Gosh, that response sounds a bit familiar, doesn’t it Dr. Hansen? But at least the folks in NZ aren’t willing to just roll over and play dead. Hella no, they’re mad as hell and they aren’t going to take it anymore! [ and wowzers, how appropriate is this guys name? D. Wratt? Do his friends call him Dirty? ]

New Zealand’s Climate Change minister Nick Smith has been told to make good on his promise to front NIWA scientists for a grilling by members of parliament in the wake of the Climategate and NIWAtemp scandals.

Act party leader Rodney Hide, a minister in the coalition government cabinet, has released a letter sent to Smith this afternoon.

Hide has told his cabinet colleague only openness and honesty about NIWA’s scientific methods will assuage growing public concerns about the integrity of climate scientists and their data.

Rodney Hide has done what Nick Smith has failed to do and asked for ALL the details of the data at NIWA so we can see if they are cheating us or not. Why is it up to the only honest politician to get the scientists to come clean on why data needs to be manipulated at all, which data was manipulated and the exact reasons why it was?

These are all valid reasons, especially no that we have an ETS system that will cripple our economy if maintained. If the science is bogus then the ETS and associated bullshit that goes with it be tossed out and then the prosecutions can begin for the greatest fraud attempted to committed on the global population in the history of mankind.


original h/t to moonbattery, but this story is everywhere this morning
Bok cartoon stolen from Theo’s


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Posted by Drew458   United States  on 11/27/2009 at 09:02 AM   
Filed Under: • Climate-Weather •  
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